weed squeeze
Market Analysis

Which Is A Better Investment Right Now: Sundial or OrganiGram?

As Canadian growers face challenges from illegal markets and falling prices, which is the better investment right now, OrganiGram or Sundial?

The initial excitement of the green rush was quickly dampened by the reality of government bureaucracy and a firmly established black market. Nowadays, the only marijuana investments that seem to pay off are in the outlier industries like leasing or plant supplies. We present you with two small-cap marijuana stocks that are currently available at a reasonable price. Both have had less-than-stellar financial results, and both are expanding their footprint through acquisitions. Is OrganiGram Holdings (NASDAQ: OGI) a better buy than Sundial Growers (NASDAQ: SNDL)? 

Sundial Growers: Bulls vs bears

Sundial saw stock price growth momentum earlier in the year thanks to its meme status, joining the ranks of companies like AMC and GameStop. But don’t call it a meme stock as the company has nearly $1 billion in cash and investments and zero outstanding debt. This will allow Sundial to acquire Spirit Holdings and its Spiritleaf retail cannabis network for $131 later this year and help it pivot to the retail market and brand operation rather than just concentrating on being a wholesale company. The company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) were roughly $2.7 million in the last quarter, the first quarter it was ever in positive territory. 

The recent consolidation of companies in the pot sector highlights Sundial’s position to be one of the few surviving cannabis companies at the end of the decade. The current reality, however, reminds us once again why this is still an industry that is going through growing pains. According to the company’s last quarterly report, gross revenue is down 30% both from the previous quarter and year-over-year (YoY) due to declining weed prices ($3.15 per gram versus $4.14 the previous quarter). And finally, Sundial’s capital comes from share dilution which has grown from 200 million outstanding shares last year to an astronomical 1.56 billion this year, decreasing shareholder value.

OrganiGram Holdings: Bulls vs bears

OrganiGram’s growth projection is centered on acquisition, partnership, and innovation. In March, British American Tobacco announced a strategic investment of $175 million in OrganiGram. This will entail a collaboration with the company that will “focus on developing the next generation of cannabis products with an initial focus on CBD,“ a market that is forecast to reach nearly $24 billion in value by 2025. In April, the company purchased The Edibles & Infusions Corporation of Winnipeg for $22 million in cash and $13 million in stock to capture a share of the high-margin Canadian edibles market, which is projected to encapsulate 15% of the total cannabis market in Canada. 

Additionally, the acquisition gives the company a second operating facility and a footprint in the Western Canadian market. On the innovation front, OrganiGram entered into a strategic investment deal worth $10 million with Hyasynth Biologicals to use biosynthesis to streamline cannabinoid production. Moreover, the company launched its Edison RE:MIX dissolvable cannabis powder in November, which is rapidly absorbable and can be added to any beverage for a measured, controlled experience. 

These advances will certainly bear fruit but the current reality for the company is very sobering. According to OrganiGram’s Q2 results (which ended February 28), revenue is down 37% YoY, which doesn’t bode well for the company, especially considering that cannabis, an ‘essential item’ during the pandemic, had growing sales overall. Furthermore, net losses are up a whopping 872% from a year ago and to add icing to the cake, in May, CEO Greg Engel announced his departure from his role, to stay on only as an advisor in the interim until he’s officially replaced.

So, which is the better investment right now?

My money is on OrganiGram as it’s not only concentrating on expansion but innovation as well. The importance of new product development cannot be stressed enough as not only a potential for competitive moats but also to offer something that isn’t available on the black market, like its Edison RE:MIX powder.

MyWallSt operates a full disclosure policy. MyWallSt staff currently holds long positions in companies mentioned above. Read our full disclosure policy here

David Pinkhasov
David fell in love with the stock market in 2000 after making $30,000 overnight on Techniclone. His favorite stocks today are Netflix, Google, Amazon, and Apple as they are the market leaders in their sectors and are safe long-term investments.